Friday, June 22, 2007

Future of Music - the secret of great music

What exactly is music? The secret of great music. Physics of sound and how it communicates. How all great music connects with passion and all great performers provoke a response from those who listen. The elusive magic of a world class musician and why live performance will become increasingly important in a virtual, online world. Comment by Dr Patrick Dixon, futurist, leading authority on global trends, conference speaker – (bad) player of many different instruments and amateur composer.

Search engines and personal privacy - invading our space? - Video

Big controversy over personal privacy using code on your computer to track search requests, and enable a personal profile to be built up. This means that search results and advertising can be targeted to the individual person using a web browser. Search engine cookies from engines like Google had been set in the past to remain active for more than a decade. Under pressure from the EU, Google recently announced that the two years of user history they keep would be reduced to 18 months. Expect pressure to continue for personal opt out boxes enabling search engine users to block personal data from being stored. Expect search engines to push back perhaps by only allowing the fullest search results for those who give personal data to be stored. As it is they will claim (correctly) that personal history is vital to make the results as relevant as possible. Expect big civil rights debates and worries about invasion of personal life by security agencies. Video comment by Dr Patrick Dixon, futurist, leading authority on global trends and conference speaker.

Future of Music Industry

Future of music, EMI, Sony, music publishing, music industry, video industry, downloads, live performance, concerts, home made bands, band management, YouTube music bands, MySpace bands, performing artists and why live music is best. Tribute bands and buskers, Rolling Stones band example of premium for being tribute band to themselves. Why audience experience is everything and entertainment is king. Comment by Dr Patrick Dixon, futurist, leading authority on global trends and conference speaker.

Tuesday, June 19, 2007

YouTube, Facebook, MySpace, Google, Yahoo, MSN – security worries - privacy, MI5, CIA, KGB?

Web 2.0 groups such as Facebook offer huge new opportunities for people to network with others... and could represent a powerful recruiting mechanism for all kinds of antisocial groups, activist networks and extremists of various kinds. Being able to identify friends of friends could make it easier for group leaders to target others who may share similar values (as well as friends) and who might be open to (for example) meeting to discuss things that they would prefer not to talk about online.

Online community sites also offer security services an extraordinarily powerful new tool for inspecting the history of an individual’s social life. In a few year’s time it will be possible for security services to check out for example many of the people an office worker was friendly with while at University a long time before. Experience shows that old friends are often important in an individual’s subsequent development.

Dr Patrick Dixon talks to Chad Hurley, founder YouTube on the meteoric rise of YouTube and implications for online community building. Google Zeitgeist CEO Summit.

Wednesday, June 13, 2007

By 2012 today's teens will rule

"Dr Patrick Dixon, chairman of Global Change and Europe's leading futurist, says today's teens often do many things at once: simultaneously watching YouTube, doing homework and talking on the mobile is a snip. They prefer internet chat to email (which is slow and boring). They are seasoned internet researchers and they share themselves, their thoughts, hopes and creative product with the world."

The Age, Melbourne - published today

http://www.theage.com.au/news/business/by-2012-todays-teens-will-rule/2007/06/12/1181414299813.html

See also Patrick Dixon video on the Web.2 generation

Tuesday, June 12, 2007

Second Life - Future of Virtual Worlds

The Second Life virtual community is settling down after a period of phenomenal growth. I met a senior member of the development team recently who tells me that they are experiencing all the economic challenges of a small country, with over 34 million citizens of which 50,000 are online and moving around at any time engaging with others. The latest upgrade to Second Life means you can talk to people and maybe one day you will be able to create a three dimensional image of yourself though most people seem to prefer a fictional name and appearance.

The governors of the world have to meet every few days to keep an eye on currency, exchange rates and inflation. When real estate prices rise too high they release more land for development – but if they release too much they could cause a price crash, and also create too much space for people to wander around in without meeting too many other people. They also need to watch out for currency stability and when the Linden dollar to US dollar gets too high they print more money.
The creators of Second Life don’t actually sell any products or services to citizens, relying on the rest of the community to organise themselves.

The average age of a Second Life user is over 40 - and many are over 65. While men and women are roughly equal in numbers of users, women tend to stay in thew virtual world longer and so there are usually slightly more women than men in Second Life.

Saturday, June 09, 2007

Make It Work! Scandal: technology sold which doesn't work

Many companies sell technology which does not work. Example: most senior managers have problems getting mobile phones and PCs to synchronise properly, or find their systems crash, are bugged, unreliable - and do NOT work as claimed by manufacturers. This is a huge scandal and abuse of customer time and money. Companies need to hugely improve reliability and simplicity and as they do they will gain sales, market share and brand awareness. Part of conference lecture for MTN by Dr Patrick Dixon, Futurist and author Futurewise.

Thursday, June 07, 2007

How online communities are killing off traditional advertising and brand management

Dr Patrick Dixon at Google Zeitgeist - CEO event. Chairing session on "Entertain Me" - impact of online communties such as YouTube and e-Bay on marketing, media, advertising, brand management and so on.

Tuesday, June 05, 2007

The YouTube story - interview with co-founder Chad Hurley

Dr Patrick Dixon talks to Chad Hurley, founder YouTube on the meteoric rise of YouTube to a $1.6bn corporation in just 18 months and implications for online community building. Google Zeitgeist CEO Summit.

Monday, May 28, 2007

Future of Internet

More on RFIDs or Radio Frequency Identification devices - TV interview

Sunday, May 27, 2007

10 billion computers the size of a grain of sand

RFID technology - wireless barcodes. Why Wal-Mart needs 10 billion in the next 12 months. Revolution in distribution, retailing, wholesale - and how these computer chips fuse to brain tissue to create biodigital intelligence.

Monday, June 26, 2006

Digital growth - finger vein recognition on phones etc

Hitachi tells me that they will be able by 2008 to put finger vein recognition into phones, which means we can have ultra-secure payment systems using mobiles.  As for watching TV on phones – a little like hard work unless the screen is large enough.  Having said that, a friend of mine was travelling recently and realised a good proportion of people on the train were watching video clips on their phones (Japan).

 

Combine it with Slingbox and you can watch on your phone wherever you are in the world whatever is on your TV system at home, and change channels as well.

 

 

Sunday, June 25, 2006

Intelligent clothes - gimmick or market trend? - and virtual real estate takes off

So i-pod is selling an add-on for Nike, allowing runners to see output on the i-pod generated from the electronics in their trainers.  Gap is selling a hooded garment with speakers in the hood itself…. And the there is virtual real estate itself.

Some of these are fads and others are for real.

OK so the market for digitally enhanced clothing is small and likely to remain modest, but gaming is a whole new story.  According to Catherine Smith, Linden Lab (owner's of Second Life) director of marketing, "In January of 2006, Second Life residents exchanged $1,384,752,765 in-world 'Linden' dollars, or over $5 million U.S. dollars.

http://www.businessweek.com/innovate/content/may2006/id20060502_832540.htm

“If you haven't heard of Anshe Chung yet — you will. She's a "real" estate agent... but not your ordinary "real" estate agent. She's not real, at least not in the flesh and blood sense. She's merely the online avatar for a Chinese-born language teacher living near Frankfurt, Germany. But her virtual business is very real.  Second Life members pay "Linden dollars" (the in-game currency) to rent or buy virtual homes from Chung. However, Lifers can convert that "play money" into real U.S. dollars by using their credit card at online currency exchanges. Today Chung's firm currently has about $250,000 U.S. dollars worth of virtual land and currency holdings.”

 

 

 

Saturday, June 24, 2006

Bill Gates to leave Microsoft for philanthropy mission

“With Bill Gates planning to leave Microsoft management to fully dedicate himself to his $29.1 billion foundation's work, America's philanthropic movement has its latest grand champion.

Characterized by intense engagement, innovative operations and emphasis on results, the style of philanthropy that Gates embodies stems from the nation's tech boom and is most prevalent in states like California and Washington.”

It is easy to be cynical but most people I meet are deeply impressed by all that Bill and Belinda Gates have been doing.

 

Saturday, June 17, 2006

Future of Retail Marketing - by Dr Patrick Dixon for Envision Denmark

Future of Retail Marketing - by Dr Patrick Dixon for Envision Denmark

I really hope you enjoy this presentation which I gave in Arrhus, with the co-founder of Pret a Manger, Sinclair Beecham. Innovation, creativity, design and good marketing will contribute to business success but the most successful organisations will go further in understanding how consumers will think and feel. Huge market opportunities - for example the growing economic power of women, and of those over the age of 60, together with 1 billion children becoming adults in emerging markets in the next 15 years

Friday, June 16, 2006

The future of europe, economic outlook, impact of new technology on productivty and other issues - by Dr Patrick Dixon for SAP client event

The future of europe, economic outlook, impact of new technology on productivty and other issues - by Dr Patrick Dixon for SAP client event:

These are the slides of the presentation I gave to the 50 top clients of SAP at their Saphire event in Paris which this year attracted many thousands of participants. SAP is of course a prominent success story - and a rare one - involving a European company and a global market. SAP is strong, with a wide range of products designed to improve business integration and performance.

"Future economic outlook for the European Union and impact of new technology on future productivity. SAP event for top 50 clients - joint session with SAP's CEO at Saphire 2006. Reasons why EU productivity grown so slowly compared to US. Can EU catch up and maintain a manufacturing base in the face of severe competition from China and India? Why information technology will play key role. Challenges for business and government "

Thursday, June 15, 2006

Future Trends in Technology and Management - for Fujitsu Siemens by Dr Patrick Dixon

Future Trends in Technology and Management - for Fujitsu Siemens by Dr Patrick Dixon

This presentation to 2000 people for Fujitsu Siemens is now available as an online powerpoint plus video, covering a wide range of technology-related issues such as consumer behaviour, virtual working, virtual teams and so on.

Sunday, June 11, 2006

Huge need to make technology simpler - a scandal

Yesterday I asked an audience of CIOs and other technology people to put their hands up if they had experienced serious problems getting their personal organisers (PDAs) to communicate with their computers, problems with synchronisation etc.

 

The majority put their hands up.  I always find the same – even when speaking at events organised by computer or software companies for their own people. 

 

It is a real scandal:  I have had huge problems myself, and I also consider myself computer literate, have been consulting in IT and speaking to IT audiences for over 25 years.

 

If we can’t get these PDAs and computers to talk, who can?  It is a scandal that these kinds of products and solutions are sold when they are so unreliable.  It is a complete and utter waste of executive time to sell these things when the only way to make them work is to spend 10 hours on helplines…without certainty of a solution.

 

My own problem?  I have over 6500 outlook contacts and there is not a single PDA on the market that can cope because of internal memory limitations which are pathetically small despite the fact that I have external memory card of a gigabyte.  The system becomes unstable and has to be constantly reset,

 

The external card cannot be accessed by Outlook on Windows Mobile, and the alternative Symbian operating system used by Nokia is also unable to cope.

 

T

Tuesday, June 06, 2006

Video conferencing set for take-off? - IT Week

For years now I have had my own web tv studio at home which also is used for videoconferencing. The studio can connect to up to 9 conferences in different countries at the same time. This was needed a couple of years back during the SARS crisis when delegates were unable to travel.

Skype has now introduced a new video option which is easy to use and is proving a useful tool in linking teams around the world.

Old style conferencing was in board rooms and had users experienced frequent technical difficulties. New style is always available wherever you are as an add-on to voice calls.

Expect rapid growth of video calls as part of virtual team work.

Monday, June 05, 2006

Is video conferencing set for take-off? - IT Week

Is video conferencing set for take-off? - IT Week

Monday, May 01, 2006

Dominance of Wikipedia - threat of legal action may force tightening up of editing access

Watch out for the rising star of Wikipedia which now is starting to dominate search engine results.  This co-operative information guide is astonishing not only for speed of growth but also for the fact that it is still completely open (to abuse).  Anyone in the world can go onto the site and alter any page in any way they like.  So far the anarchists have been contained by active monitoring by the rest of the community, but this kind of openness is already melting away.  It is now necessary to log in a s a registered user to create new pages, and I predict it will not be long before a series of high profile legal threats force Wikipedia to tighten up further.  The problem is sensitive when for example people write untrue things on entries for political leaders – which has happened recently.

Sunday, April 30, 2006

The future of digital technology

Watch out for RFIDs - radio frequency identification devices - the size of a grain of sand. Expect more than 100 billion of these minute computer systems to be used every year by 2010, in manufacturing, wholesale, distribution and retail as well as by airlines in luggage tracing, in health care and many other settings.

They need no battery, can last up to 100 years, and suck power out of the places where they operate using electromagnetic waves.